Canelo Alvarez vs. Austin Trout?
With the announcement that Robert Guerrero will be Floyd Mayweather Jr.‘s opponent on May 4, the only question that remains regarding the blockbuster Cinco de Mayo weekend is who will take on your favorite rust-haired Mexican and mine: Saul “Canelo” Alvarez.
Common sense (which, admittedly, is often more common than sensical) seems to favor Austin “No Doubt” Trout. In fact, BoxRec has the fight listed, albeit with the usual caveat of the bout being “subject to change & commission approval.”
Twenty-two-year-old Alvarez (41-0-1, 30 KOs), a pro since 2005, won the vacant WBC junior middleweight title in 2011 by beating Matthew Hatton via unanimous decision. Alvarez has successfully defended his championship five times, twice in 2012. He defeated Shane Mosley by unanimous decision in May and stopped Josesito Lopez by fifth-round TKO in September. Unbeaten, Alvarez drew once, against Jorge Juarez in 2006.
Although five years older, Trout (26-0-0, 14 KOs) has otherwise much in common with his likely opponent. Also an eight-year veteran, also undefeated, and also a junior middleweight titlist. Trout won the vacant WBA strap in 2011 (the same year “Canelo” won the WBC) by defeating Alvarez’s brother Rigoberto by unanimous decision. Blood feud! And, if not, at least along the lines of an unusually implausible 19th century novel. Trout has successfully defended his title four times, twice last year. He defeated Delvin Rodriguez in June and a past-his-prime Miguel Cotto in December, both via unanimous decision.
Following Mayweather’s victory over Guerrero on May 4 at Vegas’ MGM Grand, who will “Money” face on September 14 (the weekend of Mexican Independence Day)—Alvarez or Trout?
Trout is a quality, if dull-as-dishwater, boxer. He’s also a southpaw, which is always problematic. Most orthodox fighters are in sympathy with Willie Pep’s view that “They ought to take all left-handers, drop them in a sack, and throw the sack in a river.” That said, Trout’s fists, at least in terms of hitting power, are about as soft as a newborn chick’s behind. He has a KO record of only 54%, while Alvarez’s is around 71%.
A good fight? Yes, I think so. But Alvarez is younger and more aggressive, and that extra hitting power of his should make the difference. I predict Alvarez to win by late-round stoppage, and his holding aloft not one but two championship belts.
If I’m right (I know, that “If” is funny), we’ll have Mayweather vs. Alvarez to look forward to just four months later. “Canelo” won’t win, but he’ll give “Money” a run for his money. As TV’s Tony Baretta used to say, in keeping with the monetary theme: “You can take dat to da bank.”