Lucian Bute vs. Carl Froch Predictions

By Boxing News on May 25, 2012
Lucian Bute vs. Carl Froch Predictions
Will the crowd roaring its support be enough for Carl Froch to hand Bute his first defeat?

Whether Bute’s southpaw style and slick boxing skills prove to be too much for The Cobra we’ll discover in a matter of hours…

Saturday at the Nottingham Arena in Nottingham, England, IBF super middleweight champion Lucian Bute defends his title for the 10th time against former WBC super middleweight champion Carl “The Cobra” Froch. Bute is undefeated at 30-0 with 24 KOs and has elected to fight in Froch’s backyard. Froch, whose record is 28-2 with 20 KOs, always comes to fight, and his chin and resiliency, not to mention his superior resume, should provide a real challenge for the rapidly improving Bute. Whether Bute’s southpaw style and slick boxing skills prove to be too much for The Cobra we’ll discover in a matter of hours. Will the crowd roaring at every punch he throws be incentive enough for Froch to hand Bute his first defeat? Or will Bute be too clever, too elusive, too ring savvy for Froch to contend with? Read what the writers predict will happen when Lucian Bute meets Carl Froch.

Adam Berlin: “Carl Froch has the better resume and certainly works hard inside those ropes. But Lucian Bute, since his controversial win against Librado Andrade, has grown into an impressive fighter who displays true punching power. Bute’s awkward southpaw style will frustrate Froch and as soon as the Englishman stops boxing and starts brawling, his natural inclination, and leaves his chin exposed, Bute’s going to hurt him. The last time Froch went down was against Jermain Taylor, whose hands are less than heavy. I’m going out on a limb for this one: Carl Froch gets knocked out for the first time in his career, on home turf no less, while Lucian Bute returns to Montreal the conquering hero.”

Cheekay Brandon: “This fight might serve as a great experiment in the power of home field advantage on sports performance. This is both Bute’s first major fight against a top contender AND his first major fight away from his comfort zone (Canada or Romania). Under most circumstances this would significantly affect the outcome of the fight. Unfortunately, the difference in skill level between Bute and Froch is too large for this home field effect to really matter. Look for Froch to have a good first four rounds of the fight after which Bute’s overall skills will take control, thoroughly outboxing Froch en route to a clear-cut unanimous decision. Froch’s only real hope is for Bute to fade slightly in the championship rounds, giving Froch an opportunity for a late round knockout (as he did against Jermain Taylor). Froch is a strong finisher and Bute has been hurt in fights against lighter punchers than Froch.”

Teron Briggs: “Froch by controversial majority decision in a hotly contested battle. Neither fighter touches the canvass however Bute is visibly hurt in the late rounds. Froch closes the show winning the championship rounds and closing the gap on the scores.”

Mike Casey: “Carl Froch, for me, is another example of a skilful boxer with good reflexes who has been roped into the modern game’s ‘macho warrior’ way of thinking. He takes far more punches than he should do, often seemingly by design rather than by an inability to avoid them. He might have already reached that stage in his career where he has taken a few too many and can no longer beat the premium men of the division. I believe Bute will win a unanimous decision here. We know that past form doesn’t always count in these matters, but consider that Mikkel Kessler lost to Joe Calzaghe and Andre Ward before he beat Froch. Is Kessler really any better now than he was when Calzaghe beat him (more than a few people thought Mikkel would win that 2007 match with Joe)? Froch always believed he could beat Calzaghe (as did umpteen others). But he would never have done so. Calzaghe would have beaten Lucian Bute too.

Mutaurwa Mapondera: “Bute is a dynamic fighter who has already made his way onto some pound-for-pound lists, but I think Froch’s greater experience at the highest level will take him to a decision win in front of his hometown crowd. The only two fighters that Froch has truly struggled against were the ultra-slick Andres of the Super Six (Dirrell and Ward) and Bute has shown the type of defensive skills and lateral movement that could trouble Froch so it will be a competitive and dramatic fight especially if Bute decides to gut it out with the rugged Englishman. In the end, I think Froch’s size, punching power, underrated boxing skills and—above all—his unshakeable confidence will carry him to a signature win.

Norman Marcus: “Bute has a training camp injury to his foot. Froch is a banger not a boxer. All and all it will be a close fight, baring a KO early by Froch. My guess—a SD for Froch.”

David Matthew: “I see Bute winning a clear and decisive UD against Froch. I expect Froch to be his usual self, stalking forward with an effective jab looking for opportunities to land the big right hand, but Bute is too slick and pure of a boxer to allow Froch to cement himself enough in order to be able to get off with his big shots. Bute will show Froch a lot of angles and footwork as he gets out of punching range, and then lunges back in with his own competent combination punching. Bute can crack, as we’ve seen, and I think he catches Froch with something big in the middle rounds to discourage Froch from mounting meaningful attacks late in the fight. Bute outpoints Froch (assuming the judges aren’t corrupt in Nottingham, which is a big assumption).”

Matt McGrain: “Bute is a fast-handed puncher and a superior boxer. So far, so Jermain Taylor. But I suspect that Bute, that one controversial lurch to the finish against Librado Andrade in 2008 aside, is a more organized, more natural warrior than Taylor could ever have hoped to be. Bute impresses me. I’ll pick him to firmly outbox Froch early, hurting him to the body, outlanding him through the middle rounds before surviving the late Froch rally to take a giant step into boxing’s stratosphere. But…Froch shouldn’t be undermined. He is as well conditioned as any athlete living and the roar in Nottingham will be as disturbing as anything any fighter is going to walk into in mainstream boxing in 2012. We learn the details of Lucian Bute’s psyche that have remained a mystery since the bizarre thrashing he ‘survived’ against Andrade. This fight is important because Bute will leave the ring either as a fighter ready to play his part in a legitimate superfight with 168 lb. #1 Andre Ward, or he leaves the ring broken. There is no in-between.”

Robert Mladinich: “I never attached myself to the Froch bandwagon. He always seemed to be more talk than action. I believe he will be easy pickings for Bute, who will win a very comfortable decision.”

Ezra Salkin: “I think the question here is whether this fight will be more reminiscent of Bute-Andrade I or II. One played out similarly to Froch vs. Taylor with what should’ve been a late 12th round KO for Andrade, if they hadn’t been fighting in Canada. Or will this fight be more like II, where Bute outclassed his tough but crude opponent, using his shocking power and accuracy to stop Andrade downstairs? Like Andrade, Froch’s best qualities, at least as a fighter, are his chin and determination. After watching Showtime’s Super Six tournament play out, we know Froch is a much higher quality opponent than Andrade. It’s hard not to like a guy like Froch who accounts for his cockiness by usually finding a way to win against his elite competitors, in spite of usually being the lesser talent. He has been fighting a who’s who of the best pros in and around his division going back to 2008. We can’t honestly say the same for Bute’s list of opponents, but maybe that’s an advantage…Froch’s had a tiring four-year stretch since he entered his 30s. Do we know that Bute is as good a fighter as Taylor was the night Froch stopped him in the 12th? We don’t, but we also don’t know if Froch is as good a fighter as the man that pulled off the upset that night. I’m going with Bute by late stoppage. If it goes to the cards, he may have to worry that the thieves of Nottingham will take it from him.”

Ted Sares: “Bute has been oft-criticized for both his weak level of opposition in title fights as well as his unwillingness to fight outside of Montreal. Nonetheless, Le Tombeur enjoys an 80% KO percentage and features a killer body shot. However, this time, Bute steps up to fight his toughest opponent, Carl Froch, and also does it in Froch’s hometown no less. Given that there is little to choose from in their respective skill sets, I sense that these two factors will allow Froch to win a close decision. BUT, I hope I am wrong because I will be rooting for Le Tombeur to win. After all, when was the last time you saw a guy go into his opponent’s backyard? (How do you spell Vernon Paris?)”

Michael Schmidt: “This is a tough one to pick. Both have great length. Bute is the more athletic guy and has better hand speed. Froch will feed off his home crowd of course and has fought the better opposition. Bute gets out of the gate early and Froch closes stronger. Very very very close fight—Froch by razor-thin decision.”

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  1. Matty Mitchell 11:19am, 05/27/2012

    Haha that you did, perhaps looking back on my comment the so called expert part of it was a little harsh but your prediction was dead on especially the confidence part Froch has a very strong belief in his own skill set which instantly gives him one up over a lot of fighters. My apologies if my original comment came across a little offensive.

  2. Mutaurwa Mapondera 08:30am, 05/27/2012

    For the record, I picked Froch


    A So Called Expert

  3. Matty Mitchell 04:09am, 05/27/2012

    These so called experts were soooooo wrong that it’s laughable, people need to give Froch a bit more credit the way he stalked Bute and caught him from some crazy angles was just world class. Froch is highly underrated.

  4. The Thresher 02:03pm, 05/26/2012

    Cote on the undercard might just steal the show.

  5. The Thresher 10:00am, 05/26/2012

    Irish has the beat

  6. Irish Frankie Crawford Beat Saijo 09:51am, 05/26/2012

    Mike Casey-“Calzaghe would have beaten Lucian Bute too” my opinion that’s faint praise indeed…Joe would have beaten Ward and his greatest mistake was not taking Hopkins back to Cardiff and beating the hell out of him and thereby saving all of us the bullshit that has since transpired. Much like Rocky he retired just a little too soon….it would have been great for boxing if Rocky’s trip hammer right would have made contact with Floyd’s chinny chin chin just one time….there wouldn’t have been multiple knock downs…it would have been down and out!

  7. The Tache 06:47am, 05/26/2012

    Froch defended his newly won title away to Taylor I believe. Not sure if it was Taylor’s home town though.
    I think this will be a battle of skill vs will, I will be rooting for Froch but wary it turns out like the Ward fight.
    Go Carl!!

  8. Bob 09:11pm, 05/25/2012

    Regarding Ted Sares’ comment about champions going into the backyards of challengers: that is such a wonderful but long lost tradition. I have the greatest admiration for the champs that risk it all in a potential hotbed of favoritism. Bute is the real deal, and he will prove it against Froch who won’t know what’s coming at him next.

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